CASE / 1998–2013

Indonesia oligarchy debate, 1998–2013

A bounded scholarly debate about wealth, organization, institutions, and power after the New Order.

DETAILS

What are the case boundaries and records?

Check the scope, related ideas, and institutional evidence behind the overview.

Scope, selection, freshness, and background links
Boundary: Competing scholarly explanations of Indonesian political power from the 1998 transition through the 2013 Indonesia exchange; not a regime label.
Why this case: The exchange makes rival mechanisms and the limits of transferring wealth-defense theory directly visible.
Post-New Order power debate, 1998–2013 1998–2013

Claims made in the selected scholarly exchange rather than every Indonesian political contest.

Formal design

Rules in use

Interactions

causal hypothesis

Winters argues that highly concentrated material resources gave wealthy actors unusually durable and versatile political power in post-1998 Indonesia.

causal hypothesis

Winters interprets wealth defense as a central shared objective of Indonesian oligarchs across the transition from the New Order to electoral democracy.

causal hypothesis

Hadiz and Robison explain post-New Order politics through the reorganization of entrenched interests and networks rather than a simple persistence of unchanged individual oligarchs.

causal hypothesis

Ford and Pepinsky argue that an oligarchy framework can understate institutions, non-material resources, actors outside wealthy elites, and variation across Indonesian political contests.

Observed outcomes